Tuesday, November 27, 2007
More Confounding Variables than I Wanted
I flew into White Plains this morning. The view was nearly breathtaking. What foliage was not on the trees was still on the ground around them. It was so gorgeous.
I. Could. Not. Wait. To. Run.
This beautiful picture is available at www.allposters.com. It is amazingly similar to what I saw.
After catching up on statistics and heading into new territories (ANOVA, ANCOVA, confounders, co-variates, dependent and independent variables....) I was absolutely thrilled that we finished for the day at 4:30pm. I had about 20 minutes before the sun went down. It was still beautiful. I raced back to my room with hope. Maybe I could do a couple of hills on the golf course before it gets dark.
But, again, it was not to be. No bag in my room. No shoes, no workout clothes, no nothin. I phoned the bellman to be sure, then checked the baggage claim website. The sun was just as sad as I was as it was setting over this gorgeous landscape and I read, "unfortunately we have not yet located your bag. However, we do have it on a priority trace. We are sorry for any inconvenience this has caused."
One of many lessons today:
aFailing to take a confounding variable into account can lead to a false conclusion.
Editor's Note: 12:23am. IT's FINALLY HERE. Hoping to get up bright and early and hit the trail :D